This chart displays the 10-m wind speed observations in the selected geographic region over the last 30 years. The third of years with the highest wind speeds (upper tercile) is marked in yellow, the third with the lowest ones (lower tercile) in blue.
Seasonal average wind speeds in m/s
The median wind speed observed in the past.
This chart shows the calibrated ECMWF S4 prediction for the next season. Overall, 51 different simulations were run, resulting in a range of potential outcomes. We can best understand these in terms of the teciles resulting from past observations: How many of the simulations result in relatively high wind strengths, how many in lower?